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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Aarnink

Nurnberg

U S T T U

1–0

Full-time

Regensburg

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

42%

58%

Both score Ø 35%

37%

32%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

7 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 16. · Regensburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	19	12	6	1	+18	42
2	Hamburg	19	13	1	5	+14	40
3	Heidenheim	19	10	6	3	+13	36
4	Kaiserslautern	19	9	8	2	+9	35
5	Paderborn	19	10	2	7	+17	32
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	2	8	+4	29
7	Hannover	19	8	4	7	+3	28
8	Holstein Kiel	19	7	7	5	+2	28
9	Hansa Rostock	20	7	3	10	-9	24
10	St Pauli	19	5	8	6	+1	23
11	Greuther Furth	20	5	8	7	-5	23
12	Karlsruhe	20	6	4	10	-4	22
13	Braunschweig	19	5	6	8	-8	21
14	Bielefeld	20	6	2	12	-5	20
15	Sandhausen	19	5	4	10	-11	19
16	Nurnberg	19	5	4	10	-11	19
17	Regensburg	19	5	4	10	-14	19
18	Magdeburg	19	5	3	11	-14	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Darmstadt	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Paderborn	10	7	0	3	+18	21
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
6	St Pauli	9	4	5	0	+9	17
7	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+4	17
8	Greuther Furth	10	4	5	1	+2	17
9	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Holstein Kiel	9	4	3	2	+5	15
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Regensburg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
14	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
15	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-4	10
17	Hansa Rostock	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Magdeburg	9	2	2	5	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	9	7	0	2	+7	21
2	Darmstadt	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Kaiserslautern	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
5	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
6	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-3	13
7	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-1	11
8	Paderborn	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-6	10
10	Magdeburg	10	3	1	6	-7	10
11	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
12	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Sandhausen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Braunschweig	9	1	4	4	-9	7
16	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	Regensburg	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.