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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Heidenheim

S S S S T

3–3

Full-time

Hamburg

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,5

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 61%

53%

68%

Points per game

1,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

41% Possession 59%

24 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 3. · Hamburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	19	12	6	1	+18	42
2	Hamburg	19	13	1	5	+14	40
3	Heidenheim	19	10	6	3	+13	36
4	Paderborn	20	11	2	7	+18	35
5	Kaiserslautern	19	9	8	2	+9	35
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	2	8	+4	29
7	Hannover	20	8	4	8	+2	28
8	Holstein Kiel	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	Hansa Rostock	20	7	3	10	-9	24
10	St Pauli	19	5	8	6	+1	23
11	Greuther Furth	20	5	8	7	-5	23
12	Karlsruhe	20	6	4	10	-4	22
13	Nurnberg	20	6	4	10	-10	22
14	Braunschweig	19	5	6	8	-8	21
15	Magdeburg	20	6	3	11	-13	21
16	Bielefeld	20	6	2	12	-5	20
17	Sandhausen	19	5	4	10	-11	19
18	Regensburg	20	5	4	11	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Darmstadt	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Paderborn	10	7	0	3	+18	21
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
6	St Pauli	9	4	5	0	+9	17
7	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Greuther Furth	10	4	5	1	+2	17
9	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-3	13
14	Regensburg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
15	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
16	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Hansa Rostock	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Magdeburg	9	2	2	5	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	9	7	0	2	+7	21
2	Darmstadt	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Kaiserslautern	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+0	14
5	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-3	13
8	Magdeburg	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-6	10
11	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
12	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Sandhausen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Braunschweig	9	1	4	4	-9	7
16	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Regensburg	10	2	0	8	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.