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Championship
Referee: C Kavanagh
Bristol City
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Norwich
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
62%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 17. · Norwich 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 29 19 8 2 +32 65
2 Sheffield United 29 17 7 5 +24 58
3 Middlesbrough 29 14 6 9 +13 48
4 Luton 28 13 8 7 +8 47
5 Watford 30 12 9 9 +3 45
6 West Brom 30 12 8 10 +7 44
7 Blackburn 29 14 2 13 -4 44
8 Millwall 28 12 7 9 +6 43
9 Norwich 29 12 6 11 +6 42
10 Sunderland 28 11 8 9 +9 41
11 Preston 29 11 7 11 -6 40
12 Hull 30 11 7 12 -7 40
13 Swansea 29 10 9 10 +1 39
14 QPR 30 10 9 11 -6 39
15 Birmingham 30 10 8 12 -2 38
16 Reading 29 11 5 13 -11 38
17 Bristol City 29 9 9 11 +0 36
18 Coventry 28 9 8 11 -2 35
19 Stoke 29 9 6 14 -5 33
20 Rotherham 29 7 11 11 -7 32
21 Cardiff 30 7 8 15 -12 29
22 Huddersfield 29 7 7 15 -10 28
23 Blackpool 29 6 9 14 -15 27
24 Wigan 29 6 8 15 -22 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Norwich
1–0 M. Sykes
C. Pring
24′
31′
🟨 Kenny McLean
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Hernández
↦ M. Núñez
57′
🟨 Max Aarons
Joe Williams 🟨
58′
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ N. Wells
60′
A. Mehmeti 🔁
↦ S. Bell
60′
61′
🔁 L. Gibbs
↦ K. Dowell
61′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ J. Sargent
78′
🟨 Andrew Omobamidele
A. Weimann 🔁
↦ A. Scott
82′
T. Kalas 🔁
↦ M. Sykes
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
12 M. O’Leary G
19 G. Tanner D
5 R. Atkinson D
26 Z. Vyner D
16 C. Pring D
8 J. Williams M
6 M. James M
17 M. Sykes M
7 A. Scott M
20 S. Bell M
21 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
9 H. Cornick
11 A. Mehmeti
14 A. Weimann
22 T. Kalas
10 A. King
23 N. Haikin
3 J. Dasilva

Coach: N. Pearson

Norwich

4-3-3
28 A. Gunn G
2 M. Aarons D
4 A. Omobamidele D
5 G. Hanley D
30 D. Giannoulis D
10 K. Dowell M
23 K. McLean M
17 Gabriel Sara M
22 T. Pukki F
24 J. Sargent F
26 M. Núñez F
Bench (7)
25 O. Hernández
46 L. Gibbs
11 A. Idah
15 S. McCallum
6 B. Gibson
19 J. Sørensen
1 T. Krul

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,85
U
3,44
B
2,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.