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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Hamburg
U S T U U
6–1
Full-time
Hannover
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 47%
58%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Hannover 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 26 16 7 3 +20 55
2 Heidenheim 26 14 9 3 +23 51
3 Hamburg 26 15 5 6 +16 50
4 St Pauli 26 12 8 6 +12 44
5 Paderborn 26 13 4 9 +18 43
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 13 4 9 +11 43
7 Kaiserslautern 26 10 10 6 +5 40
8 Karlsruhe 26 10 5 11 +1 35
9 Hannover 26 9 7 10 +2 34
10 Holstein Kiel 26 8 10 8 +0 34
11 Magdeburg 26 9 4 13 -11 31
12 Greuther Furth 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Nurnberg 26 8 5 13 -16 29
14 Bielefeld 26 8 4 14 -4 28
15 Braunschweig 26 6 8 12 -13 26
16 Regensburg 26 7 5 14 -16 26
17 Hansa Rostock 26 7 4 15 -19 25
18 Sandhausen 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Hannover
Jonas David 🟨
3′
László Bénes 🟨
11′
1–0 S. Kittel
L. Reis
33′
2–0 L. Bénes
R. Glatzel
41′
Half-time 2–1
52′
D. Köhn 2–1
Moritz Heyer ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
3–1 L. Bénes
61′
64′
🔁 C. Teuchert
↦ L. Schaub
4–1 R. Glatzel
N. Katterbach
65′
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ J. Meffert
71′
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
71′
74′
🔁 A. Fóti
↦ H. Nielsen
Ludovit Reis 🟨
75′
5–1 R. Königsdörffer
75′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
79′
E. Krahn 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
79′
80′
🟨 Maximilian Beier
V. Zumberi 🔁
↦ S. Schonlau
81′
83′
🔁 T. Momuluh
↦ S. Ernst
6–1 L. Reis
87′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
33 N. Katterbach D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
10 S. Kittel F
Bench (9)
36 A. Suhonen
11 R. Königsdörffer
20 A. Németh
46 E. Krahn
37 V. Zumberi
19 M. Raab
7 F. Bilbija
2 W. Mikelbrencis
42 O. Heil

Coach: T. Walter

Hannover

4-3-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
21 S. Muroya D
34 Y. Lührs D
32 L. Krajnc D
18 D. Köhn D
6 F. Kunze M
7 M. Besuschkow M
10 S. Ernst M
11 L. Schaub M
14 M. Beier F
16 H. Nielsen F
Bench (9)
36 C. Teuchert
24 A. Fóti
38 T. Momuluh
8 E. Leopold
23 N. Tresoldi
30 L. Weinkauf
4 B. Arrey-Mbi
3 E. Çelebi
9 H. Weydandt

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,52
B
5,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.