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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Lechner
Nurnberg
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 1,27
47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Darmstadt 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.2 3
2 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.6 3
3 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
4 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
5 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
6 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.7 3
7 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
8 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
9 Braunschweig 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.3 3
10 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
11 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
12 Holstein Kiel 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
13 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.7 0
14 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
15 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
16 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.3 0
17 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.6 0
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Darmstadt
39′
🟨 Luca Marseiler
Half-time 0–0
S. Telalovic 🔁
↦ A. Stepanov
46′
Tim Janisch 🟨
53′
60′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ H. Akiyama
60′
🔁 K. Corredor
↦ M. Richter
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
61′
N. Maboulou 🔁
↦ M. Biron
66′
67′
🟨 Killian Corredor
80′
🔁 M. Maglica
↦ C. Riedel
90′
🔁 S. Guler
↦ I. Lidberg
90′
🔁 F. Holland
↦ L. Marseiler
90′
K. Corredor 0–1
F. Hornby
W. Osawe 🔁
↦ Danilo Soares
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-1-4-2
1 J. Reichert G
4 F. Gruber D
31 R. Knoche D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
18 R. Lubach M
32 T. Janisch M
10 J. Justvan M
21 B. Yilmaz M
3 Danilo Soares M
11 A. Stepanov F
7 M. Biron F
Bench (9)
26 C. Mathenia
5 T. Baack
6 F. Flick
9 S. Telalovic
27 J. von der Hitz
28 T. Buchmann
37 N. Maboulou
38 W. Osawe
44 O. Karafiat

Coach: Miroslav Klose

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
15 F. Nurnberger D
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
8 L. Marseiler M
9 F. Hornby M
23 M. Richter M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
3 L. Klassen
5 M. Maglica
19 F. Lakenmacher
21 M. Papela
22 S. Guler
32 F. Holland
34 K. Corredor
44 Y. Furukawa

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,62
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.