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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Darmstadt
S U T T S
4–1
Full-time
Bochum
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,51 xG 1,93
43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Darmstadt Bochum
1–0 I. Lidberg
F. Hornby
5′
Fabian Nürnberger 🟨
6′
16′
🟨 Leandro Morgalla
33′
M. Broschinski 1–1
2–1 I. Lidberg
45′
Half-time 2–1
M. Papela 🔁
↦ H. Akiyama
46′
46′
🔁 M. Clairicia
↦ M. Broschinski
3–1 I. Lidberg
47′
50′
🟨 Ibrahima Sissoko
4–1 A. Vukotic
F. Nurnberger
56′
64′
🔁 K. Watjen
↦ P. Strompf
64′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ P. Hofmann
68′
🟨 Matúš Bero
M. Maglica 🔁
↦ M. Richter
69′
L. Klassen 🔁
↦ L. Marseiler
76′
83′
🔁 C. Lenz
↦ M. Pannewig
F. Lakenmacher 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
85′
F. Holland 🔁
↦ F. Nurnberger
85′
Fraser Hornby 🟨
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
15 F. Nurnberger D
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
8 L. Marseiler M
9 F. Hornby M
23 M. Richter M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
3 L. Klassen
5 M. Maglica
19 F. Lakenmacher
21 M. Papela
22 S. Guler
32 F. Holland
44 Y. Furukawa
2 S. Lopez

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Bochum

3-5-2
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
7 K. Vogt D
3 P. Strompf D
26 R. Rosch M
24 M. Pannewig M
6 I. Sissoko M
19 M. Bero M
32 M. Wittek M
29 M. Broschinski F
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
5 C. Kleine-Bekel
8 K. Watjen
9 I. Sissoko
14 M. Clairicia
15 F. Passlack
20 N. Loosli
34 C. Lenz
35 K. Koscierski

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,54
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.