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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Darmstadt
T S U S U
0–4
Full-time
Hamburg
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
32%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
61%
74%
Both score Ø 68%
68%
68%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 12. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 31 16 6 9 +10 54
2 Hamburg 31 14 11 6 +26 53
3 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
4 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
5 Elversberg 31 13 10 8 +21 49
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 31 13 10 8 +5 49
7 Kaiserslautern 31 14 7 10 +4 49
8 Karlsruhe 31 13 8 10 -1 47
9 Hannover 31 12 10 9 +4 46
10 Nurnberg 31 13 6 12 +3 45
11 Hertha 31 11 7 13 -1 40
12 Darmstadt 31 10 9 12 +4 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 31 9 8 14 -14 35
15 Braunschweig 31 8 10 13 -20 34
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 31 6 11 14 -6 29
18 Regensburg 31 6 5 20 -46 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Hamburg
Philipp Förster 🟨
15′
23′
L. Reis 0–1
M. Muheim
M. Papela 🔁
↦ Guille Bueno
30′
43′
🔁 S. Schonlau
↦ D. Hadžikadunić
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 E. Sahiti
↦ Fábio Baldé
58′
R. Königsdörffer 0–2
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Davie Selke
67′
ℹ️ Jean-Luc Dompé
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ P. Förster
68′
Andreas Müller 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 S. Hefti
↦ M. Muheim
74′
🔁 I. Pherai
↦ J. Dompé
75′
🟨 Sebastian Schonlau
77′
🟨 Jonas Meffert
80′
D. Selke 0–3
I. Pherai
F. Lakenmacher 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
81′
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ A. Müller
81′
K. Klefisch 🔁
↦ Sergio López
81′
82′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ R. Königsdörffer
95′
R. Glatzel 0–4
I. Pherai
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
16 A. Müller M
15 F. Nürnberger M
18 P. Förster M
9 F. Hornby M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
21 M. Papela
10 J. Boëtius
19 F. Lakenmacher
8 L. Marseiler
17 K. Klefisch
11 T. Kempe
5 M. Maglica
13 M. Thiede
43 S. Kroll

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
8 Daniel Elfadli D
28 M. Muheim D
11 R. Königsdörffer M
23 J. Meffert M
14 L. Reis M
45 Fábio Baldé F
27 D. Selke F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
4 S. Schonlau
29 E. Sahiti
30 S. Hefti
10 I. Pherai
9 R. Glatzel
17 A. Karabec
49 O. Stange
6 Ł. Poręba
19 M. Raab

Coach: M. Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
3,81
B ✓
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.