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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S S U

3–3

Full-time

Nurnberg

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

63%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

23 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · Nurnberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	30	16	6	8	+11	54
2	Hamburg	30	14	11	5	+27	53
3	Magdeburg	31	13	11	7	+16	50
4	Elversberg	31	13	10	8	+21	49
5	Paderborn	31	13	10	8	+10	49
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	13	9	8	+5	48
7	Kaiserslautern	30	13	7	10	+3	46
8	Nurnberg	30	13	5	12	+3	44
9	Karlsruhe	30	12	8	10	-2	44
10	Hannover	30	11	10	9	+3	43
11	Hertha	31	11	7	13	-1	40
12	Darmstadt	31	10	9	12	+4	39
13	Schalke 04	30	10	8	12	-4	38
14	Greuther Furth	31	9	8	14	-14	35
15	Braunschweig	31	8	10	13	-20	34
16	Ulm	31	6	11	14	-6	29
17	Preußen Münster	31	6	11	14	-10	29
18	Regensburg	31	6	5	20	-46	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Elversberg	16	8	3	5	+11	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+11	27
4	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+7	27
5	Karlsruhe	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+10	26
7	Nurnberg	15	8	2	5	+5	26
8	Darmstadt	15	7	4	4	+11	25
9	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	+6	24
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Regensburg	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Schalke 04	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-5	20
15	Magdeburg	15	4	7	4	+2	19
16	Ulm	15	4	4	7	+0	16
17	Preußen Münster	16	3	7	6	-2	16
18	Hertha	15	3	4	8	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	16	9	4	3	+14	31
2	Hertha	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	5	3	+5	26
5	Hamburg	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Paderborn	15	6	7	2	+4	25
7	Elversberg	15	5	7	3	+10	22
8	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-7	20
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-2	18
10	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-6	17
12	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Greuther Furth	15	4	3	8	-9	15
14	Darmstadt	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-6	13
16	Preußen Münster	15	3	4	8	-8	13
17	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-19	12
18	Regensburg	15	0	1	14	-41	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.