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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Korona Kielce

U U T T U

3–0

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,3

3,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,88 xG 0,59

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 17. · Radomiak Radom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.8	9
2	Radomiak Radom	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.2	7
3	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.6	7
4	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.1	6
5	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.5	6
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	-1	+3.4	6
7	Nieciecza	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
8	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
9	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.1	4
10	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
14	Arka Gdynia	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.0	2
15	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.9	1
16	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
17	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.4	1
18	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.2	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.0	6
4	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
5	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.7	3
9	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
10	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
12	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
14	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.0	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
16	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
17	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
18	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.8	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
10	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
11	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
12	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.2	1
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
14	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
17	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.