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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Guingamp
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Toulouse
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Toulouse 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 7 1 0 +22 22
2 Monaco 8 6 1 1 +13 19
3 Bordeaux 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 St Etienne 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Marseille 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Nantes 7 4 1 2 +0 13
7 Lyon 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Caen 7 4 0 3 +2 12
9 Nice 7 3 1 3 +2 10
10 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 -1 9
11 Guingamp 7 3 0 4 -3 9
12 Angers 7 1 5 1 +1 8
13 Troyes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Toulouse 7 2 1 4 -6 7
15 Rennes 7 1 3 3 -1 6
16 Amiens 7 2 0 5 -6 6
17 Dijon 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Strasbourg 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Metz 7 1 0 6 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Toulouse
1–0 M. Thuram
L. Deaux
1′
40′
Somália 1–1
A. Delort
45′
🟨 Christopher Jullien
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Issiaga Sylla
Lucas Deaux 🟨
63′
N. Benezet 🔁
↦ J. Briand
63′
L. Blas 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
66′
66′
🔁 Y. Sanogo
↦ C. Jean
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ É. Didot
80′
86′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ A. Delort
88′
🔁 C. Michelin
↦ Somália
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
3 Pedro Rebocho D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
17 É. Didot M
5 M. Diallo M
8 L. Deaux M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
21 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
7 L. Blas
18 L. Phiri
9 Abdoul Camara
14 K. Achahbar
26 T. Giresse
30 D. Petrić

Coach: A. Kombouare

Toulouse

4-4-2
40 A. Lafont G
29 F. Moubandje D
6 C. Jullien D
20 S. Yago D
12 Issiaga Sylla D
2 K. Amian D
19 Somália M
25 G. Imbula M
27 A. Blin M
10 A. Delort F
8 C. Jean F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Sanogo
23 Y. Bodiger
13 C. Michelin
1 M. Goicoechea
4 Y. Cahuzac
11 O. Toivonen
17 I. Sangaré

Coach: P. Dupraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.