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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Pau FC

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 42%

56%

28%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

53%

39%

Both score Ø 43%

44%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 10

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 3. · Pau FC 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	37	23	8	6	+25	77
2	Clermont	37	21	9	7	+37	72
3	Toulouse	36	20	8	8	+29	68
4	Grenoble	37	17	11	9	+15	62
5	Paris FC	37	16	13	8	+13	61
6	Auxerre	37	15	14	8	+20	59
7	Sochaux	37	12	15	10	+9	51
8	Valenciennes	37	12	11	14	-8	47
9	Nancy	37	11	13	13	+0	46
10	Amiens	37	11	13	13	-6	46
11	Ajaccio	37	11	12	14	-9	45
12	Guingamp	37	9	17	11	-4	44
13	Le Havre	37	10	14	13	-11	44
14	Rodez	37	8	19	10	-5	43
15	Niort	37	9	14	14	-22	41
16	Pau FC	36	10	10	16	-8	40
17	Dunkerque	37	10	10	17	-13	40
18	Caen	37	8	14	15	-16	38
19	Chambly	37	9	11	17	-20	38
20	Chateauroux	37	4	10	23	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	19	15	3	1	+17	48
2	Clermont	19	13	5	1	+28	44
3	Toulouse	18	13	3	2	+26	42
4	Grenoble	18	11	6	1	+20	39
5	Auxerre	19	10	6	3	+20	36
6	Paris FC	18	10	5	3	+10	35
7	Ajaccio	19	8	6	5	+4	30
8	Pau FC	18	8	5	5	+6	29
9	Amiens	19	7	8	4	+3	29
10	Rodez	19	6	9	4	+3	27
11	Valenciennes	19	7	6	6	+1	27
12	Dunkerque	18	6	7	5	+4	25
13	Sochaux	18	6	7	5	+3	25
14	Nancy	18	6	7	5	+0	25
15	Caen	18	5	9	4	-3	24
16	Chambly	19	7	3	9	-6	24
17	Niort	18	6	6	6	-6	24
18	Guingamp	19	4	10	5	-4	22
19	Le Havre	18	3	8	7	-8	17
20	Chateauroux	18	3	4	11	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	18	8	5	5	+8	29
2	Clermont	18	8	4	6	+9	28
3	Le Havre	19	7	6	6	-3	27
4	Sochaux	19	6	8	5	+6	26
5	Toulouse	18	7	5	6	+3	26
6	Paris FC	19	6	8	5	+3	26
7	Auxerre	18	5	8	5	+0	23
8	Grenoble	19	6	5	8	-5	23
9	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	+0	22
10	Nancy	19	5	6	8	+0	21
11	Valenciennes	18	5	5	8	-9	20
12	Amiens	18	4	5	9	-9	17
13	Niort	19	3	8	8	-16	17
14	Rodez	18	2	10	6	-8	16
15	Ajaccio	18	3	6	9	-13	15
16	Dunkerque	19	4	3	12	-17	15
17	Caen	19	3	5	11	-13	14
18	Chambly	18	2	8	8	-14	14
19	Pau FC	18	2	5	11	-14	11
20	Chateauroux	19	1	6	12	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.