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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Guingamp
T T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Le Havre
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 8. · Le Havre 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 14 8 5 1 +17 29
2 Bordeaux 14 8 3 3 +11 27
3 Grenoble 14 7 4 3 +4 25
4 Sochaux 14 7 3 4 +11 24
5 Valenciennes 14 6 5 3 +2 23
6 Amiens 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Caen 14 6 4 4 +3 22
8 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Paris FC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
10 Pau FC 14 5 5 4 -3 20
11 Metz 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Bastia 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Laval 14 5 2 7 +0 17
14 Annecy 14 4 3 7 -2 15
15 Quevilly Rouen 14 3 6 5 -5 15
16 Rodez 15 3 6 6 -6 15
17 Nimes 14 4 2 8 -5 14
18 Dijon 14 3 5 6 -5 14
19 St Etienne 15 3 5 7 -6 14
20 Niort 14 3 2 9 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Le Havre
Jérémy Livolant 🟨
3′
Half-time 0–0
Dylan Louiserre 🟨
59′
63′
🔁 C. Diakité
↦ E. Mahmoud
J. Gaudin 🔁
↦ M. Barthelmé
73′
H. Picard 🔁
↦ T. Luvambo
80′
80′
🔁 Q. Cornette
↦ A. Richardson
Jules Gaudin 🟨
82′
87′
N. Alioui 0–1
A. Sangante
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ T. Muyumba
91′
S. Diarra 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
91′
91′
🔁 T. Kongolo
↦ N. Alioui
91′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ J. Casimir
93′
🟨 Oualid El Hajjam
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

3-5-2
16 E. Basilio G
15 V. Manceau D
3 A. Vitelli D
2 B. Roux D
23 T. Luvambo M
28 M. Barthelmé M
4 D. Louiserre M
6 T. Muyumba M
11 S. Quemper M
18 G. Courtet F
29 J. Livolant F
Bench (7)
25 J. Gaudin
37 H. Picard
22 M. Baaloudj
8 S. Diarra
12 W. Tchimbembé
30 D. Youfeigane
5 H. Camara

Coach: S. Dumont

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
10 N. Alioui F
28 E. Mahmoud F
Bench (7)
6 C. Diakité
11 Q. Cornette
15 T. Kongolo
18 N. Mbemba
1 M. Gorgelin
21 Y. Gomes
7 A. Samoura

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
3,02
B ✓
2,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.