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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Le Havre
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 57%
60%
53%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
27%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 1. · Bordeaux 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 15 9 5 1 +18 32
2 Bordeaux 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Sochaux 15 8 3 4 +12 27
4 Grenoble 15 7 5 3 +4 26
5 Caen 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Valenciennes 15 6 5 4 +1 23
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 -1 23
8 Metz 15 6 3 6 +3 21
9 Pau FC 15 5 6 4 -3 21
10 Laval 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Guingamp 15 5 5 5 +0 20
12 Paris FC 15 5 5 5 -2 20
13 Annecy 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Quevilly Rouen 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Bastia 15 5 3 7 -6 18
16 Nimes 15 4 3 8 -5 15
17 Dijon 15 3 6 6 -5 15
18 Rodez 15 3 6 6 -6 15
19 St Etienne 16 3 5 8 -7 14
20 Niort 15 3 3 9 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Bordeaux
1–0 A. Richardson
C. Opéri
9′
Quentin Cornette 🟨
14′
38′
🟨 Stian Gregersen
Arouna Sangante 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 M. Bokele
↦ C. Michelin
65′
🔁 A. Elis
↦ J. Maja
Quentin Cornette 🟨
67′
Quentin Cornette 🟥
67′
Jamal Thiaré 🟨
69′
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
72′
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ J. Thiaré
72′
77′
🟨 Danylo Ignatenko
N. Mbemba 🔁
↦ A. Richardson
78′
N. Alioui 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
78′
89′
🔁 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
↦ S. Gregersen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
14 J. Thiaré F
11 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Kitala
28 E. Mahmoud
18 N. Mbemba
10 N. Alioui
6 C. Diakité
1 M. Gorgelin
15 T. Kongolo

Coach: L. Elsner

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
16 G. Poussin G
34 C. Michelin D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
6 D. Ignatenko M
23 J. Mwanga M
30 Z. Davitashvili M
10 A. Badji M
7 D. Bakwa M
11 J. Maja F
Bench (7)
4 M. Bokele
29 A. Elis
22 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
33 E. Biumla
26 E. Depussay
17 L. Pirringuel
31 R. Strączek

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,07
B
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.