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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Ajaccio
S U S U T
2–2
Full-time
Dunkerque
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 13. · Dunkerque 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Grenoble 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Guingamp 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Pau FC 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Troyes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Annecy 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Angers 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Ajaccio 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 St Etienne 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Rodez 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Paris FC 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Concarneau 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Dunkerque
S. Abergel 🔁
↦ S. Quemper
10′
19′
⚽ A. Gnanduillet 0–1
R. Ghrieb
Ben Touré 🟨
28′
34′
🟨 Hugo Gambor
Half-time 0–1
M. Barreto 🔁
↦ M. Soumano
46′
1–1 B. Touré ⚽
C. Bayala
50′
52′
⚽ R. Boissier 1–2
R. Ghrieb
Ben Touré 🟨
55′
Ben Touré 🟥
55′
Cyrille Bayala 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 A. Ipiélé
↦ E. Bardeli
2–2 C. Bayala ⚽
M. Chanot
65′
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ T. Jabol-Folcarelli
70′
Everson 🔁
↦ V. Jacob
70′
70′
🔁 J. Anziani
↦ T. Keita
71′
🔁 M. Guel
↦ R. Boissier
81′
🔁 A. Ba-Sy
↦ A. Gnanduillet
81′
🔁 Á. Orelién
↦ R. Ghrieb
R. Nouri 🔁
↦ C. Bayala
82′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-2
1 M. Michel G
22 J. Benhaim Casanova D
2 M. Chanot D
15 C. Vidal D
3 S. Quemper D
14 C. Bayala M
8 V. Marchetti M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
19 V. Jacob M
11 B. Touré F
18 M. Soumano F
Bench (7)
39 S. Abergel
4 M. Barreto
6 T. Mangani
17 Everson
5 R. Nouri
21 C. Avinel
16 F. Sollacaro

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Dunkerque

3-4-3
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
28 D. Thiam D
23 H. Gambor D
19 B. Youssouf M
5 R. Boissier M
8 T. Keita M
22 D. Trichard M
27 R. Ghrieb F
21 A. Gnanduillet F
20 E. Bardeli F
Bench (7)
17 A. Ipiélé
10 J. Anziani
14 M. Guel
11 A. Ba-Sy
29 Á. Orelién
89 B. Koumetio
1 L. Lavallée

Coach: M. Chabert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,33
B
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.