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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
0–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
4 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 14. · Ajaccio 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Caen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Laval 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Troyes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ajaccio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Paris FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Valenciennes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Ajaccio
23′
🔁 J. Benhaim Casanova
↦ S. Quemper
Gustavo Sangaré 🟨
32′
33′
R. Nouri 0–1
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Vincent Marchetti
Sambou Soumano 🟨
74′
A. Do Marcolino 🔁
↦ K. Sidibé
75′
V. Baboula 🔁
↦ P. Yade
75′
77′
🔁 T. Mangani
↦ T. Jabol-Folcarelli
78′
🔁 M. Soumano
↦ Y. Touzghar
A. Bonnet 🔁
↦ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
84′
R. Legendre 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
84′
88′
🔁 M. Puch-Herrantz
↦ Y. Bammou
G. Gbellé 🔁
↦ G. Sangaré
89′
89′
🔁 M. Alphonse
↦ R. Nouri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-1-4-1
1 B. Leroy G
58 A. Sissoko D
20 N. Cissé D
5 T. Cissokho D
7 J. Pendant D
4 B. Pierret M
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
17 G. Sangaré M
6 K. Sidibé M
90 P. Yade M
9 S. Soumano F
Bench (7)
14 A. Do Marcolino
11 V. Baboula
10 A. Bonnet
35 R. Legendre
12 G. Gbellé
30 A. Courel
22 S. Loric

Coach: O. Echouafni

Ajaccio

4-2-3-1
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
21 C. Avinel D
15 C. Vidal D
3 S. Quemper D
8 V. Marchetti M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
14 C. Bayala M
5 R. Nouri M
10 Y. Bammou M
9 Y. Touzghar F
Bench (7)
22 J. Benhaim Casanova
6 T. Mangani
18 M. Soumano
37 M. Puch-Herrantz
2 M. Alphonse
16 F. Sollacaro
38 I. Chegra

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,01
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.