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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Caen
U T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 1. · Ajaccio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bordeaux 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Troyes 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Ajaccio 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bastia 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Rodez 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 St Etienne 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Concarneau 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Valenciennes 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Paris FC 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Ajaccio
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Y. Court
18′
0–1 C. Avinel
own goal
36′
1–1 Alexandre Mendy
M. Autret
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Soumano
↦ M. El Idrissy
53′
🟨 Cyrille Bayala
2–1 Alexandre Mendy
G. Kyeremeh
63′
64′
🔁 I. Chegra
↦ C. Bayala
66′
🟨 Yacine Bammou
A. Coeff 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
67′
70′
🔁 Everson
↦ M. Puch-Herrantz
81′
🔁 B. Touré
↦ Y. Bammou
81′
🔁 S. Abergel
↦ R. Nouri
N. Lebreton 🔁
↦ B. Brahimi
84′
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
85′
Godson Kyeremeh 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
23 M. Autret M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
92 A. Coeff
20 N. Lebreton
7 T. Gomis
16 Y. Clémentia
3 D. Bolumbu
24 H. Vandermersch

Coach: J. Furlan

Ajaccio

4-4-2
1 M. Michel G
31 T. Strata D
21 C. Avinel D
15 C. Vidal D
2 M. Alphonse D
14 C. Bayala M
37 M. Puch-Herrantz M
6 T. Mangani M
5 R. Nouri M
7 M. El Idrissy F
10 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
18 M. Soumano
38 I. Chegra
17 Everson
11 B. Touré
39 S. Abergel
35 A. Khelifa
30 G. Quilichini

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,29
B
4,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.