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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Angers
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Valenciennes
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
58%
8%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
25%
42%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 3. · Valenciennes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 12 8 2 2 +7 26
2 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
3 Angers 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Auxerre 12 6 4 2 +12 22
5 Grenoble 12 5 6 1 +6 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
8 Guingamp 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Ajaccio 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Amiens 12 4 4 4 -3 16
11 Caen 12 4 3 5 +3 15
12 Annecy 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
14 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
15 Bastia 12 3 4 5 -6 13
16 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
17 Troyes 12 1 7 4 -2 10
18 Valenciennes 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 Dunkerque 12 2 3 7 -9 9
20 Quevilly Rouen 12 1 4 7 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Valenciennes
1–0 F. El Melali
14′
16′
🟨 Jean Louchet
1–1 Jonathan Buatu
own goal
29′
Jordan Lefort 🟨
33′
Yan Valery 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
46′
46′
🔁 N. Venema
↦ D. Kruse
Zinedine Ferhat 🟨
50′
Farid El Melali 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Jordan Poha
74′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ A. Boutoutaou
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Lefort
81′
L. Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
81′
85′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ I. Hamache
I. Niané 🔁
↦ L. Diony
90′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ J. Lopy
90′
Pierrick Capelle 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Ugo Bonnet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
8 J. Lopy M
20 Z. Ferhat M
15 P. Capelle M
10 H. Abdelli M
28 F. El Melali M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
24 J. Bahoya
26 F. Hanin
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
7 I. Niané
23 A. Hunou
29 O. Camara
16 M. Zinga

Coach: A. Dujeux

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
16 J. Louchet G
24 A. Linguet D
5 J. Poha D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
15 L. Woudenberg D
23 D. Kruse M
8 S. Bansé M
34 M. Lilepo M
28 Bruno Costa M
20 I. Hamache M
17 A. Boutoutaou F
Bench (7)
10 N. Venema
11 U. Bonnet
18 A. Jung
44 J. Sanda
4 T. Moore
59 M. Ondoa
30 L. Diabaté

Coach: Jorge Maciel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,77
B
5,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.