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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Pau FC

S U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Dunkerque

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

20%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

73%

40%

Both score Ø 43%

53%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 5. · Dunkerque 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	15	10	2	3	+8	32
2	Angers	15	9	3	3	+12	30
3	Grenoble	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Auxerre	15	7	5	3	+14	26
5	Pau FC	15	7	4	4	+1	25
6	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+8	24
7	St Etienne	15	7	3	5	+2	24
8	Ajaccio	15	6	5	4	+1	23
9	Rodez	15	5	5	5	+1	20
10	Amiens	15	5	5	5	-3	20
11	Concarneau	15	5	4	6	-3	19
12	Bordeaux	16	5	4	7	-6	19
13	Annecy	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Paris FC	15	5	2	8	-3	17
15	Bastia	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Caen	15	4	4	7	-1	16
17	Troyes	16	3	7	6	-2	16
18	Quevilly Rouen	15	2	6	7	-4	12
19	Dunkerque	15	3	3	9	-11	12
20	Valenciennes	15	1	7	7	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Ajaccio	7	4	3	0	+6	15
3	Grenoble	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Laval	7	5	0	2	+1	15
5	Rodez	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Pau FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Bastia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Amiens	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+7	12
10	Auxerre	7	3	2	2	+7	11
11	St Etienne	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Paris FC	8	3	1	4	+1	10
14	Annecy	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Caen	7	2	2	3	+2	8
16	Troyes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
17	Concarneau	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Quevilly Rouen	8	1	3	4	-2	6
19	Valenciennes	7	0	3	4	-6	3
20	Dunkerque	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Auxerre	8	4	3	1	+7	15
3	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+0	13
4	Grenoble	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Concarneau	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Pau FC	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	Angers	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Dunkerque	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Troyes	9	1	5	3	-2	8
11	Caen	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Annecy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Ajaccio	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Bordeaux	8	2	2	4	-7	8
15	Paris FC	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-4	7
17	Valenciennes	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Rodez	8	1	3	4	-5	6
20	Bastia	7	0	3	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.