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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Pau FC
T T U S U
3–0
Full-time
Martigues
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Martigues
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 72%
83%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Martigues 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Lorient 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Ajaccio 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Red Star 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Metz 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Pau FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Clermont 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Martigues 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Dunkerque 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Laval 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Caen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rodez 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Martigues
31′
🟨 Leandro Morante
1–0 A. Bobichon
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Zouaoui
↦ A. Ipiélé
46′
🔁 S. Shamal
↦ M. Siby
53′
🔁 A. Djaha
↦ L. Morante
60′
🔁 O. Mendy
↦ P. Ouotro
2–0 K. Boutaïb
P. Mboup
68′
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ K. Boutaïb
69′
3–0 K. Diawara
A. Mille
70′
Jean Ruiz 🟨
75′
X. Kouassi 🔁
↦ A. Bobichon
77′
Y. Njoh 🔁
↦ K. Diawara
77′
81′
🟨 Akim Djaha
K. Gasnier 🔁
↦ A. Mille
83′
87′
🔁 B. Moussiti-Oko
↦ M. Bamba
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
40 M. Jeannin G
2 T. Koudou D
22 A. Ahoussou D
25 J. Ruiz D
33 J. Kalulu D
8 I. Mohamed M
14 A. Bobichon M
18 K. Diawara M
17 A. Mille M
9 P. Mboup M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
7 T. Arconte
4 X. Kouassi
30 Y. Njoh
27 K. Gasnier
19 O. Kanté
77 T. Paradowski
26 J. Evan's

Coach: N. Usaï

Martigues

4-1-4-1
30 J. Aymes G
39 N. Saintini D
24 L. Morante D
5 S. Falette D
18 A. Amraoui D
3 S. Solvet M
12 M. Robin M
41 M. Bamba M
23 M. Siby M
27 A. Ipiélé M
19 P. Ouotro F
Bench (7)
8 I. Zouaoui
17 S. Shamal
22 A. Djaha
29 O. Mendy
14 B. Moussiti-Oko
34 L. Gautier
20 Y. Etilé

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,18
B
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.