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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Lorient

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Red Star

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

33%

60%

Both score Ø 39%

17%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lorient 5. · Red Star 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Bastia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Amiens	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Lorient	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Ajaccio	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Red Star	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Metz	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Pau FC	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Annecy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Martigues	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Dunkerque	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Laval	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Caen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Rodez	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Troyes	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Caen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Martigues	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Metz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.