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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Troyes
T U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Dunkerque
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
40%
Both score Ø 46%
56%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 16. · Dunkerque 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 25 14 8 3 +25 50
2 Angers 25 14 4 7 +12 46
3 St Etienne 26 12 5 9 +8 41
4 Laval 25 11 8 6 +3 41
5 Grenoble 25 10 10 5 +9 40
6 Ajaccio 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Caen 25 10 6 9 +1 36
8 Amiens 25 9 9 7 -3 36
9 Rodez 25 9 8 8 +3 35
10 Guingamp 25 9 8 8 +3 35
11 Paris FC 25 9 7 9 +1 34
12 Pau FC 25 8 10 7 -1 34
13 Bordeaux 25 9 6 10 -4 33
14 Concarneau 25 9 5 11 -5 32
15 Bastia 25 8 6 11 -3 30
16 Troyes 25 7 9 9 -4 30
17 Dunkerque 25 7 6 12 -14 27
18 Quevilly Rouen 25 5 9 11 -3 24
19 Annecy 26 5 8 13 -11 23
20 Valenciennes 25 2 9 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Dunkerque
17′
🟨 Yohan Bilingi
1–0 R. Saïd
18′
34′
G. Courtet 1–1
B. Youssouf
Abdu Conté 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
J. Olaïtan 🔁
↦ Y. MChangama
57′
M. Bangré 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
57′
I. Boura 🔁
↦ Abdu Conté
65′
68′
🔁 R. Boissier
↦ J. Gbamin
68′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ A. Laaziri
80′
🔁 A. Maurer
↦ G. Yassine
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
81′
A. Bruus 🔁
↦ M. Diop
81′
81′
J. Anziani 1–2
88′
🔁 S. Baghdadi
↦ J. Anziani
88′
🔁 E. Bah
↦ G. Courtet
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
4 E. Ntim D
5 M. Tahrat D
3 A. N'Diaye D
12 Abdu Conté D
28 M. Diop M
24 X. Chavalerin M
11 R. Saïd M
10 Y. M'Changama M
20 R. Ripart M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
23 J. Olaïtan
7 M. Bangré
8 I. Boura
15 A. Palaversa
19 A. Bruus
30 Z. Boucher
22 T. Zoukrou

Coach: D. Guion

Dunkerque

4-4-2
30 M. Koné G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 B. Lagae D
7 Y. Bilingi D
80 G. Yassine M
25 J. Gbamin M
10 J. Anziani M
15 A. Laaziri M
18 G. Courtet F
20 E. Bardeli F
Bench (7)
5 R. Boissier
27 R. Ghrieb
92 A. Maurer
9 S. Baghdadi
24 E. Bah
1 L. Lavallée
13 J. Senneville

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,36
B ✓
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.