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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Guingamp
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Pau FC
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
75%
57%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
57%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Pau FC 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 8 6 0 2 +7 18
2 Lorient 8 5 1 2 +6 16
3 Dunkerque 8 5 1 2 +2 16
4 Metz 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 Annecy 8 4 3 1 +5 15
6 Grenoble 8 4 1 3 +5 13
7 Guingamp 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Bastia 7 3 3 1 +2 12
9 Amiens 8 4 0 4 +0 12
10 Laval 8 3 2 3 +4 11
11 Pau FC 7 3 2 2 +2 11
12 Ajaccio 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Clermont 8 2 2 4 -2 8
14 Caen 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Red Star 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Rodez 8 2 0 6 -4 6
17 Martigues 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Troyes 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Pau FC
1′
🟨 Steeve Beusnard
Lucas Maronnier 🟨
6′
40′
🟨 Antonin Bobichon
Half-time 0–1
58′
K. Boutaïb 0–1
T. Koudou
B. Labeau 🔁
↦ T. Luvambo
61′
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
62′
69′
🔁 X. Kouassi
↦ S. Beusnard
70′
🔁 J. Kalulu
↦ K. Boto
D. Ourega 🔁
↦ L. Maronnier
71′
71′
🔁 K. Diawara
↦ K. Boutaïb
S. Guendouz 🔁
↦ H. Picard
75′
82′
🔁 Y. Njoh
↦ P. Mboup
82′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ T. Arconte
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
86′
91′
🟨 Therence Koudou
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
26 M. Riou D
24 P. Lemonnier D
2 L. Maronnier D
21 R. Ghrieb M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
10 H. Picard M
23 T. Luvambo F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
9 B. Labeau
11 A. Sagna
31 D. Ourega
19 S. Guendouz
30 B. Niasse
27 R. Touzghar
18 S. Nair

Coach: S. Ripoll

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
22 A. Ahoussou D
25 J. Ruiz D
24 K. Boto D
14 A. Bobichon M
21 S. Beusnard M
7 T. Arconte M
17 A. Mille M
9 P. Mboup M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
4 X. Kouassi
33 J. Kalulu
18 K. Diawara
30 Y. Njoh
11 M. Chahiri
19 O. Kanté
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U
3,52
B ✓
4,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.