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Ligue 2

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Metz

U S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Amiens

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Amiens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 58%

86%

29%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 7. · Amiens 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Lorient	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Dunkerque	8	5	1	2	+2	16
4	Annecy	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Grenoble	8	4	1	3	+5	13
6	Guingamp	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Metz	7	3	3	1	+8	12
8	Bastia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Amiens	7	4	0	3	+1	12
10	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Pau FC	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Ajaccio	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Clermont	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Caen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Rodez	8	2	0	6	-4	6
17	Martigues	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Troyes	8	1	1	6	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Dunkerque	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Grenoble	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Ajaccio	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
7	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Annecy	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+5	7
11	Caen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Metz	4	1	3	0	+6	6
13	Clermont	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Troyes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Rodez	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Martigues	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Laval	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Lorient	5	2	1	2	+0	7
4	Annecy	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Red Star	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Martigues	4	1	1	2	-7	4
11	Rodez	4	1	0	3	+0	3
12	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Clermont	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.