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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Guingamp

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

60%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

3,2

2,1

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

23 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Ajaccio 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	8	0	2	+11	24
2	Lorient	10	6	2	2	+8	20
3	Dunkerque	10	6	1	3	+3	19
4	Metz	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Annecy	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Amiens	10	6	0	4	+4	18
7	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+6	16
8	Pau FC	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Laval	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Bastia	9	3	5	1	+2	14
11	Guingamp	10	4	1	5	+0	13
12	Ajaccio	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Rodez	10	3	1	6	-2	10
14	Clermont	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Caen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Red Star	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Martigues	10	2	2	6	-14	8
18	Troyes	10	2	1	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Dunkerque	6	5	0	1	+4	15
3	Grenoble	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Metz	6	3	3	0	+8	12
5	Lorient	4	4	0	0	+8	12
6	Annecy	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Paris FC	5	4	0	1	+4	12
8	Ajaccio	4	3	1	0	+4	10
9	Pau FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
10	Bastia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
11	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+4	7
12	Laval	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Caen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Clermont	6	1	2	3	+0	5
15	Rodez	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Martigues	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	5	4	0	1	+7	12
2	Lorient	6	2	2	2	+0	8
3	Laval	6	2	1	3	+1	7
4	Martigues	5	2	1	2	-6	7
5	Rodez	5	2	0	3	+2	6
6	Annecy	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Metz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Guingamp	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Bastia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Pau FC	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Dunkerque	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Red Star	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Troyes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Grenoble	5	1	0	4	-2	3
16	Amiens	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.