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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Lorient

S T S U T

3–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

27 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lorient 9. · Ajaccio 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	6	3	3	0	+9	12
2	Paris FC	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Dunkerque	6	4	0	2	+1	12
4	Annecy	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Pau FC	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Bastia	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Grenoble	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Lorient	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Ajaccio	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Amiens	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Laval	6	2	2	2	+3	8
13	Caen	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Red Star	6	2	1	3	-5	7
15	Clermont	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Rodez	6	1	0	5	-4	3
17	Martigues	6	1	0	5	-13	3
18	Troyes	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Ajaccio	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Dunkerque	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Bastia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Caen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Metz	4	1	3	0	+6	6
9	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Annecy	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Clermont	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Rodez	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Martigues	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	4	2	1	1	+4	7
2	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Annecy	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Lorient	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Rodez	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Clermont	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Martigues	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Pau FC	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Ajaccio	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.