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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Guingamp
T S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Amiens
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Amiens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 13 8 3 2 +11 27
2 Lorient 13 8 2 3 +11 26
3 Dunkerque 13 8 1 4 +4 25
4 Metz 13 7 3 3 +9 24
5 Annecy 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Amiens 13 6 2 5 +2 20
7 Guingamp 13 6 1 6 +2 19
8 Grenoble 13 5 2 6 +2 17
9 Laval 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Bastia 12 3 7 2 +0 16
11 Pau FC 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Rodez 13 4 3 6 +2 15
13 Clermont 13 4 3 6 -3 15
14 Caen 13 4 2 7 -3 14
15 Ajaccio 12 4 2 6 -3 14
16 Troyes 13 4 2 7 -6 14
17 Red Star 13 4 2 7 -11 14
18 Martigues 13 2 3 8 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Amiens
1–0 J. Siwe
A. Sissoko
13′
30′
🟨 Kylian Kaiboue
2–0 A. Hemia
37′
Half-time 2–0
Sohaib Nair 🟥
48′
A. Demouchy 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
51′
3–0 J. Siwe
H. Picard
64′
66′
🔁 E. Dao
↦ F. Boya
66′
🔁 Y. Ikia Dimi
↦ R. Vita
B. Labeau 🔁
↦ J. Siwe
72′
74′
🔁 M. Jaouab
↦ O. Urhoghide
74′
🔁 K. Kouassi
↦ K. Kaïboué
82′
🟨 Owen Gene
L. Maronnier 🔁
↦ L. Vallier
84′
85′
🟨 Mohamed Jaouab
R. Ghrieb 🔁
↦ A. Hemia
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
26 M. Riou D
18 S. Nair D
6 L. Vallier D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
10 H. Picard M
13 A. Hemia F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
36 A. Demouchy
9 B. Labeau
2 L. Maronnier
21 R. Ghrieb
30 B. Niasse
23 T. Luvambo
19 S. Guendouz

Coach: S. Ripoll

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
5 O. Urhoghide D
2 M. Fofana D
19 R. Vita D
25 O. Géne M
20 K. Kaïboué M
10 N. Kandil M
29 F. Boya M
7 A. Léautey M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
22 E. Dao
26 Y. Ikia Dimi
13 M. Jaouab
41 K. Kouassi
45 I. Fofana
39 A. Chabane
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,56
B
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.