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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Troyes
T T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Dunkerque
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 45%
35%
55%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
42%
Both score Ø 36%
23%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 13. · Dunkerque 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 31 20 5 6 +30 65
2 Paris FC 31 20 4 7 +20 64
3 Metz 31 17 10 4 +30 61
4 Dunkerque 31 17 3 11 +8 54
5 Guingamp 31 15 3 13 +9 48
6 Laval 31 13 7 11 +6 46
7 Annecy 31 12 9 10 -4 45
8 Bastia 31 10 14 7 +6 44
9 Grenoble 31 11 7 13 -2 40
10 Amiens 31 12 4 15 -12 40
11 Ajaccio 31 11 6 14 -9 39
12 Pau FC 31 9 12 10 -11 39
13 Troyes 31 11 5 15 +2 38
14 Rodez 31 9 9 13 +2 36
15 Red Star 31 9 8 14 -14 35
16 Martigues 31 9 4 18 -22 31
17 Clermont 31 6 10 15 -17 28
18 Caen 31 5 6 20 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Dunkerque
1–0 N. de Préville
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Abner
↦ Núrio Fortuna
58′
🟨 Gaëtan Courtet
60′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ G. Yassine
61′
🟨 Abner
M. El Idrissy 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
77′
77′
🔁 A. Sekongo
↦ E. Bardeli
77′
🔁 Muhannad Al Saad
↦ A. Ba
A. Phliponeau 🔁
↦ C. Irié
89′
M. Detourbet 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Troyes

4-4-2
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
4 J. Diaz D
6 A. Monfray D
14 I. Boura D
21 C. Irié M
42 A. Kanté M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
8 M. Diop F
12 N. de Préville F
Bench (7)
9 M. El Idrissy
26 A. Phliponeau
32 M. Detourbet
23 P. Gozzi
24 M. Adeline
1 Z. Boucher
7 X. Chavalerin

Coach: S. Dumont

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 E. Jaouen G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
28 U. Raghouber M
80 G. Yassine M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
31 A. Ba M
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
30 Abner
19 Y. Bammou
15 A. Sekongo
77 Muhannad Al Saad
8 M. Rivera
24 I. Koné
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
3,14
B
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.