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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Bastia

T U S U T

1–3

Full-time

Guingamp

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,5

3,7

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

27 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 15. · Guingamp 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Nancy	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Red Star	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Clermont	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Amiens	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Rodez	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Le Mans	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Laval	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Annecy	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Guingamp	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Boulogne	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Le Mans	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Annecy	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.