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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Laval
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Bastia
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
45%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
41%
Both score Ø 43%
52%
34%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 4. · Bastia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 29 15 10 4 +25 55
2 St Etienne 30 15 6 9 +15 51
3 Angers 29 15 5 9 +10 50
4 Laval 29 13 9 7 +6 48
5 Rodez 29 11 10 8 +7 43
6 Guingamp 29 11 9 9 +6 42
7 Paris FC 29 11 9 9 +4 42
8 Caen 29 12 6 11 +2 42
9 Amiens 29 10 12 7 -1 42
10 Grenoble 29 10 10 9 +3 40
11 Pau FC 29 10 10 9 +0 40
12 Bordeaux 29 10 8 11 -5 38
13 Ajaccio 29 10 8 11 -5 38
14 Dunkerque 29 10 7 12 -11 37
15 Troyes 29 8 11 10 -3 35
16 Bastia 29 9 7 13 -8 34
17 Concarneau 29 9 6 14 -10 33
18 Annecy 29 7 9 13 -7 30
19 Quevilly Rouen 29 5 13 11 -3 28
20 Valenciennes 30 2 11 17 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Bastia
24′
🟨 Cheick Keita
Pablo Pagis 🟨
34′
35′
🟨 Jocelyn Janneh
Remy Labeau Lascary 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Facinet Conte
52′
F. Bianchini 0–1
F. Conté
1–1 R. Labeau-Lascary
57′
A. Bobichon 🔁
↦ J. Kadile
73′
73′
🔁 M. Siby
↦ C. Vincent
73′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ G. Charbonnier
74′
🔁 Y. Okou
↦ F. Bohnert
N. Mupemba 🔁
↦ P. Pagis
83′
J. Tell 🔁
↦ Y. Baldé
83′
T. Thomas 🔁
↦ J. Roye
84′
85′
F. Conté 1–2
M. Siby
86′
🔁 F. Tomi
↦ F. Conté
Anthony Gonçalves 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Laval

3-4-3
30 M. Samassa G
12 Y. Baldé D
3 M. Baudry D
35 P. Ouaneh D
39 A. Gonçalves M
4 J. Roye M
6 S. Sanna M
7 T. Vargas M
11 R. Labeau-Lascary F
9 J. Kadile F
29 P. Pagis F
Bench (7)
28 A. Bobichon
19 N. Mupemba
14 J. Tell
8 T. Thomas
1 M. Hautbois
27 J. Adéoti
31 I. Lomami

Coach: O. Frapolli

Bastia

3-4-3
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
95 C. Keita D
4 A. Roncaglia D
24 T. Meynadier M
7 C. Vincent M
66 J. Janneh M
42 Dylan Tavares M
31 F. Conté F
14 G. Charbonnier F
17 F. Bianchini F
Bench (7)
26 M. Siby
9 B. Santelli
99 Y. Okou
18 F. Tomi
5 I. Dramé
19 M. Loubatières
23 J. Fabri

Coach: L. Laslandes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,05
B ✓
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,58
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.