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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Bastia
U S T S U
0–3
Full-time
Laval
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Laval
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 6. · Laval 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
2 Amiens 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Laval 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Grenoble 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Bastia 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Angers 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Pau FC 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Troyes 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Annecy 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Ajaccio 5 1 3 1 -2 6
15 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Valenciennes 5 1 2 2 -5 5
18 Paris FC 5 1 0 4 -5 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Concarneau 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Laval
Romaric Yapi 🟨
24′
27′
J. Roye 0–1
44′
🟨 Junior Kadile
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Sam Sanna
52′
I. Dramé 1–1
own goal
55′
M. Baudry 1–2
T. Vargas
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ K. Djoco
57′
F. Conte 🔁
↦ A. Roncaglia
57′
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
57′
67′
🔁 W. Benard
↦ J. Roye
73′
🔁 R. Labeau Lascary
↦ J. Kadile
Julien Maggiotti 🟨
79′
S. Lega 🔁
↦ D. Liénard
82′
J. Janneh 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
82′
87′
🔁 J. Tell
↦ M. Tchokounté
87′
🔁 T. Thomas
↦ S. Sanna
88′
🔁 Y. Baldé
↦ M. Baudry
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bastia

5-3-2
1 Z. Boucher G
27 R. Yapi D
4 A. Roncaglia D
5 I. Dramé D
15 F. Bohnert D
42 Dylan Tavares D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
11 D. Liénard M
9 B. Santelli F
39 K. Djoco F
Bench (7)
8 J. Maggiotti
31 F. Conte
10 M. Alfarela
91 S. Lega
66 J. Janneh
95 C. Keita
23 J. Fabri

Coach: R. Brouard

Laval

5-4-1
30 M. Samassa G
39 A. Gonçalves D
3 M. Baudry D
23 Yohan Tavares D
15 D. Diaw D
20 A. Cherni D
7 T. Vargas M
4 J. Roye M
6 S. Sanna M
9 J. Kadile M
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
34 W. Benard
11 R. Labeau Lascary
14 J. Tell
22 T. Thomas
12 Y. Baldé
1 M. Hautbois
35 P. Ouaneh

Coach: O. Frapolli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,24
B ✓
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.