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Ligue 2

Referee: Jeremy Stinat

St Etienne

S S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Bastia

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,7

2,3

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 32%

56%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

69%

20%

Both score Ø 42%

56%

27%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,1

0,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

77% Possession 23%

16 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Bastia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	9	5	2	+13	32
2	Le Mans	17	8	6	3	+5	30
3	Reims	17	8	5	4	+12	29
4	St Etienne	16	9	2	5	+10	29
5	Red Star	16	8	5	3	+6	29
6	Dunkerque	17	7	6	4	+10	27
7	Pau FC	17	7	5	5	-2	26
8	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
9	Guingamp	17	6	5	6	-5	23
10	Annecy	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Grenoble	17	5	6	6	-2	21
12	Rodez	17	5	6	6	-5	21
13	Clermont	17	4	7	6	-5	19
14	Amiens	17	5	3	9	-5	18
15	Nancy	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	Boulogne	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Laval	17	3	6	8	-9	15
18	Bastia	15	1	4	10	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Le Mans	9	5	2	2	+3	17
3	Reims	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Grenoble	9	3	5	1	+1	14
7	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+10	13
8	Rodez	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Pau FC	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Red Star	8	3	3	2	-1	12
11	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Annecy	8	2	4	2	+3	10
13	Clermont	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Nancy	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Boulogne	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Amiens	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Bastia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Laval	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	St Etienne	9	5	1	3	+0	16
3	Reims	9	3	4	2	+4	13
4	Le Mans	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Amiens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
6	Pau FC	8	3	4	1	-1	13
7	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Annecy	9	4	0	5	+0	12
9	Laval	9	3	3	3	-2	12
10	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Troyes	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Boulogne	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Nancy	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Grenoble	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Bastia	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.