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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Dunkerque
S T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
57%
18%
Both score Ø 40%
57%
23%
Average goals
2,7
1,6
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 5. · Bastia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 23 12 6 5 +12 42
2 Reims 23 11 7 5 +14 40
3 St Etienne 23 12 4 7 +11 40
4 Le Mans 23 10 9 4 +6 39
5 Dunkerque 23 10 7 6 +15 37
6 Red Star 22 10 7 5 +6 37
7 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 +4 34
8 Pau FC 23 9 7 7 -1 34
9 Annecy 23 9 6 8 +6 33
10 Guingamp 23 9 6 8 -1 33
11 Rodez 23 8 9 6 -1 33
12 Grenoble 23 6 9 8 -5 27
13 Boulogne 23 7 5 11 -9 26
14 Nancy 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Clermont 23 5 7 11 -7 22
16 Amiens 23 6 4 13 -11 22
17 Laval 23 3 9 11 -15 18
18 Bastia 22 3 8 11 -13 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Bastia
29′
A. Roncaglia 0–1
A. Boutrah
1–1 E. Bardeli
A. Linguet
40′
Half-time 1–1
57′
🟨 Juan Guevara
A. Daho 🔁
↦ M. Bokele Mputu
66′
A. Kante 🔁
↦ A. Zossou
78′
E. Sylvestre 🔁
↦ A. Sekongo
78′
78′
🔁 J. Sebas
↦ M. Merghem
79′
🔁 J. Janneh
↦ J. Eickmayer
84′
🔁 C. Vincent
↦ A. Boutrah
84′
🔁 A. Zaouai
↦ F. Tomi
P. Diong 🔁
↦ A. Linguet
90′
M. Makhloufi 🔁
↦ B. Lagae
90′
Aboubakary Kanté 🟨
93′
Pape Diong 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
60 M. Niflore G
27 A. Linguet D
26 O. Sangante D
4 B. Lagae D
22 V. Mayela D
2 A. Georgen M
77 A. Zossou M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
69 M. Bokele Mputu M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
1 M. Lavin
19 A. Kante
15 L. Doucet
11 A. Daho
7 E. Sylvestre
6 P. Diong
42 M. Makhloufi

Coach: Albert Sanchez

Bastia

5-4-1
30 J. Placide G
24 T. Meynadier D
4 A. Roncaglia D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
5 Z. Ariss D
29 M. Merghem M
13 T. Ducrocq M
17 J. Eickmayer M
10 A. Boutrah M
9 F. Tomi F
Bench (7)
1 L. Olmeta
66 J. Janneh
7 C. Vincent
15 F. Bohnert
8 I. Karamoko
14 J. Sebas
18 A. Zaouai

Coach: Michel Moretti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U ✓
3,04
B
3,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.