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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Pau FC

U T U S S

1–2

Full-time

Boulogne

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Boulogne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

41%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 7. · Boulogne 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	22	12	5	5	+12	41
2	Reims	22	11	6	5	+14	39
3	Le Mans	22	10	9	3	+8	39
4	St Etienne	22	11	4	7	+10	37
5	Dunkerque	22	9	7	6	+12	34
6	Red Star	21	9	7	5	+5	34
7	Pau FC	22	9	7	6	+0	34
8	Guingamp	22	9	6	7	+0	33
9	Annecy	22	9	5	8	+6	32
10	Montpellier	22	9	4	9	+2	31
11	Rodez	22	7	9	6	-2	30
12	Grenoble	22	6	8	8	-5	26
13	Nancy	22	7	4	11	-10	25
14	Boulogne	22	6	5	11	-10	23
15	Clermont	22	5	7	10	-6	22
16	Amiens	22	6	4	12	-8	22
17	Laval	22	3	8	11	-15	17
18	Bastia	21	3	7	11	-13	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Reims	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Le Mans	12	6	4	2	+4	22
4	St Etienne	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	Dunkerque	12	5	4	3	+8	19
6	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+0	18
7	Annecy	11	4	5	2	+6	17
8	Montpellier	11	5	2	4	+3	17
9	Grenoble	11	4	5	2	-1	17
10	Rodez	11	3	6	2	+1	15
11	Pau FC	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Clermont	10	3	4	3	+2	13
13	Red Star	10	3	4	3	-4	13
14	Nancy	11	4	1	6	-5	13
15	Boulogne	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Amiens	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Bastia	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Laval	10	0	3	7	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	11	6	3	2	+9	21
2	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+1	19
3	Le Mans	10	4	5	1	+4	17
4	St Etienne	11	5	2	4	-1	17
5	Reims	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Dunkerque	10	4	3	3	+4	15
7	Guingamp	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Annecy	11	5	0	6	+0	15
9	Rodez	11	4	3	4	-3	15
10	Montpellier	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Laval	12	3	5	4	-5	14
12	Troyes	10	3	4	3	+0	13
13	Boulogne	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Amiens	11	4	1	6	-4	13
15	Nancy	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Grenoble	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Clermont	12	2	3	7	-8	9
18	Bastia	11	1	4	6	-6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.