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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Bastia
U T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 16%
11%
21%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
19%
57%
Both score Ø 44%
30%
57%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 18. · Amiens 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 28 17 6 5 +21 57
2 St Etienne 28 16 5 7 +21 53
3 Le Mans 28 13 11 4 +12 50
4 Reims 28 12 10 6 +15 46
5 Red Star 27 12 8 7 +5 44
6 Rodez 28 11 11 6 +2 44
7 Montpellier 28 12 6 10 +8 42
8 Dunkerque 28 10 9 9 +9 39
9 Annecy 28 11 6 11 +1 39
10 Guingamp 28 10 9 9 -2 39
11 Pau FC 28 10 9 9 -4 39
12 Boulogne 28 9 7 12 -8 34
13 Grenoble 28 6 12 10 -7 30
14 Clermont 28 7 7 14 -7 28
15 Nancy 28 7 7 14 -16 28
16 Amiens 28 6 5 17 -17 23
17 Laval 28 4 11 13 -17 23
18 Bastia 27 3 11 13 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Amiens
11′
Y. Kore 0–1
C. Louis
18′
🟨 Amine Chabane
1–1 F. Tomi
23′
Gustave Akueson 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
66′
🔁 S. Ntamack
↦ I. Sane
66′
🔁 J. Nduquidi
↦ O. Aissat
Dominique Guidi 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 R. Lutin
↦ I. Hamache
R. Beliandjou 🔁
↦ A. Boutrah
80′
J. Janneh 🔁
↦ D. Guidi
85′
C. Vincent 🔁
↦ J. Eickmayer
85′
I. Karamoko 🔁
↦ T. Meynadier
85′
87′
🔁 M. Manitu
↦ N. Kandil
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bastia

3-4-1-2
1 L. Olmeta G
6 D. Guidi D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
24 T. Meynadier M
17 J. Eickmayer M
13 T. Ducrocq M
15 F. Bohnert M
18 A. Zaouai F
9 F. Tomi F
10 A. Boutrah F
Bench (7)
16 S. Contena
66 J. Janneh
7 C. Vincent
8 I. Karamoko
36 V. Lebas da Silva
35 R. Beliandjou
33 M. Petrignani

Coach: Michel Moretti

Amiens

5-4-1
16 A. Sauvage G
39 A. Chabane D
88 Y. Kore D
34 S. Bakayoko D
44 C. Louis D
14 A. Leautey D
10 N. Kandil M
46 O. Aissat M
80 S. Alvero M
7 I. Hamache M
29 I. Sane F
Bench (7)
30 L. Alexandre
19 Y. Rafii
18 M. Manitu
90 S. Ntamack
15 J. Nduquidi
27 R. Lutin
74 P. Paul

Coach: Julien Ielsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,32
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.