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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Bastia
T T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bastia 11. · Amiens 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ajaccio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Pau FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Laval 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Martigues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Caen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Dunkerque 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Amiens
Clement Rodrigues 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Osaze Urhoghide
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Louis Mafouta
1–0 C. Vincent
53′
56′
🔁 M. Touho
↦ R. Lutin
62′
🟨 Frank Boya
L. Etoga 🔁
↦ J. Janneh
63′
Juan Guevara 🟨
71′
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
74′
74′
🔁 A. Carroll
↦ F. Boya
A. Roncaglia 🔁
↦ C. Rodrigues
81′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
81′
86′
🔁 E. Dao
↦ A. Léautey
86′
🔁 I. Fofana
↦ K. Kaïboué
89′
🟨 Owen Gene
94′
🟨 Osaze Urhoghide
94′
🟥 Osaze Urhoghide
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bastia

4-3-3
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
17 Z. Ariss D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
27 L. Tramoni F
25 C. Rodrigues F
10 A. Boutrah F
Bench (7)
14 L. Etoga
5 J. Maggiotti
4 A. Roncaglia
18 F. Tomi
21 M. Boumaaoui
23 J. Fabri
42 Dylan Tavares

Coach: B. Tavenot

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
2 M. Fofana D
5 O. Urhoghide D
19 R. Vita D
25 O. Géne M
7 A. Léautey M
29 F. Boya M
20 K. Kaïboué M
27 R. Lutin M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
94 M. Touho
99 A. Carroll
22 E. Dao
45 I. Fofana
39 A. Chabane
16 A. Sauvage
34 S. Bakayoko

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
2,88
B
3,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.