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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Amiens
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Bastia
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Amiens 3. · Bastia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ajaccio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Bordeaux 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Concarneau 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Annecy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Valenciennes 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Bastia
Amadou Ciss 🟨
13′
28′
🟨 Kapitbafan Djoco
1–0 L. Mafouta
K. Kaïboué
36′
44′
I. Dramé 1–1
D. Liénard
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Gélin
K. Kaïboué
48′
Kylian Kaiboue 🟨
49′
62′
🔁 J. Maggiotti
↦ B. Mbaye
62′
🔁 M. Alfarela
↦ K. Djoco
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ A. Ciss
65′
77′
🔁 F. Bianchini
↦ B. Santelli
77′
🔁 J. Janneh
↦ A. Roncaglia
Louis Mafouta 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Tom Ducrocq
Mamadou Fofana II 🔁
↦ K. Kaïboué
90′
O. Gene 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
91′
91′
🔁 S. Lega
↦ C. Vincent
103′
🟥 Johny Placide
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
4 N. Opoku D
2 M. Fofana D
22 K. Ouattara D
24 J. Gélin M
20 K. Kaïboué M
7 A. Léautey M
10 G. Kakuta M
18 A. Ciss M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
8 A. Tapsoba
6 Mamadou Fofana II
25 O. Gene
5 O. Urhoghide
15 Y. Assogba
16 A. Sauvage
17 A. Chibozo

Coach: O. Daf

Bastia

5-3-2
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
4 A. Roncaglia D
5 I. Dramé D
25 B. Mbaye D
42 Dylan Tavares D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
11 D. Liénard M
9 B. Santelli F
39 K. Djoco F
Bench (7)
8 J. Maggiotti
10 M. Alfarela
17 F. Bianchini
66 J. Janneh
91 S. Lega
23 J. Fabri
19 M. Loubatieres

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,14
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.