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Ligue 2

Referee: J Stinat

Red Star

U T S S U

4–3

Full-time

Bastia

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,2

2,2

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

43%

11%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

46%

18%

Both score Ø 36%

39%

32%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

7 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 5. · Bastia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	29	17	7	5	+21	58
2	St Etienne	29	16	6	7	+21	54
3	Le Mans	29	14	11	4	+16	53
4	Reims	30	12	12	6	+15	48
5	Red Star	28	12	9	7	+5	45
6	Rodez	29	11	12	6	+2	45
7	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	+8	44
8	Annecy	30	12	7	11	+2	43
9	Pau FC	30	11	9	10	-7	42
10	Dunkerque	29	10	10	9	+9	40
11	Guingamp	30	10	10	10	-3	40
12	Boulogne	29	9	8	12	-8	35
13	Grenoble	30	6	14	10	-7	32
14	Clermont	30	7	9	14	-7	30
15	Nancy	30	7	9	14	-16	30
16	Laval	30	4	13	13	-17	25
17	Amiens	30	6	6	18	-18	24
18	Bastia	28	3	12	13	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	15	12	1	2	+18	37
2	St Etienne	14	9	2	3	+18	29
3	Le Mans	15	8	5	2	+11	29
4	Reims	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Montpellier	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Annecy	15	6	6	3	+7	24
7	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-2	23
8	Dunkerque	15	5	7	3	+8	22
9	Rodez	14	5	7	2	+3	22
10	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	-1	21
11	Red Star	14	5	6	3	-2	21
12	Clermont	15	4	5	6	+0	17
13	Pau FC	15	4	5	6	-5	17
14	Nancy	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Boulogne	14	4	2	8	-8	14
16	Bastia	14	2	5	7	-10	11
17	Laval	15	1	7	7	-9	10
18	Amiens	15	2	3	10	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+3	25
2	Pau FC	15	7	4	4	-2	25
3	Red Star	14	7	3	4	+7	24
4	Le Mans	14	6	6	2	+5	24
5	Reims	16	5	8	3	+6	23
6	Rodez	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Troyes	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Boulogne	15	5	6	4	+0	21
9	Montpellier	15	5	4	6	+1	19
10	Annecy	15	6	1	8	-5	19
11	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Guingamp	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Nancy	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Amiens	15	4	3	8	-7	15
15	Laval	15	3	6	6	-8	15
16	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Grenoble	15	2	5	8	-6	11
18	Bastia	14	1	7	6	-6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.