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Serie B

Salernitana

S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Chievo

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 46%

75%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 2

20 Free kicks against 15

6 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Salernitana 6. · Chievo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Benevento	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Perugia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Empoli	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Virtus Entella	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Salernitana	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Crotone	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Pordenone	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Pescara	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Venezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Chievo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Livorno	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Frosinone	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Cosenza	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Trapani	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Juve Stabia	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Pordenone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Perugia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Benevento	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Virtus Entella	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Crotone	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Pisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Pescara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Livorno	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Chievo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cosenza	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Trapani	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Juve Stabia	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Benevento	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Crotone	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Spezia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Pescara	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Livorno	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Juve Stabia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Trapani	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Cittadella	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.