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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Genoa
U U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 14. · Bologna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Inter 4 4 0 0 +8 12
3 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Napoli 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Roma 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Lazio 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Bologna 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Sassuolo 4 2 0 2 +3 6
9 Cagliari 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Torino 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Brescia 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
13 Verona 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Genoa 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Udinese 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Parma 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Spal 4 1 0 3 -4 3
18 Lecce 4 1 0 3 -7 3
19 Sampdoria 4 1 0 3 -7 3
20 Fiorentina 4 0 2 2 -2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Bologna
2′
🟨 Takehiro Tomiyasu
Lukas Lerager 🟨
28′
Cristián Zapata 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Stefano Denswil
Paolo Ghiglione 🟨
68′
Riccardo Saponara 🔁
↦ Andrea Pinamonti
68′
72′
🔁 Federico Santander
↦ Rodrigo Palacio
Cristian Romero 🟨
73′
78′
Nicola Sansone
penalty missed
Ivan Radovanović 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Andrea Poli
Andrea Favilli 🔁
↦ Lasse Schöne
81′
Marko Pajač 🔁
↦ Antonio Barreca
83′
87′
🔁 Andreas Skov Olsen
↦ Andrea Poli
90′
🟨 Andreas Skov Olsen
90′
🔁 Blerim Džemaili
↦ Roberto Soriano
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genoa

3-1-4-2
97 Andrei Radu G
17 Cristian Romero D
2 Cristián Zapata D
4 Domenico Criscito D
21 Ivan Radovanović M
18 Paolo Ghiglione M
8 Lukas Lerager M
20 Lasse Schöne M
3 Antonio Barreca M
99 Andrea Pinamonti F
11 Christian Kouamé F
Bench (12)
93 Jandrei
22 Federico Marchetti
33 Marko Pajač
32 Peter Ankersen
13 Jawad El Yamiq
28 Kevin Agudelo
29 Francesco Cassata
15 Filip Jagiełło
91 Riccardo Saponara
9 Antonio Sanabria
19 Goran Pandev
30 Andrea Favilli

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Bologna

4-1-4-1
28 Łukasz Skorupski G
14 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
13 Mattia Bani D
4 Stefano Denswil D
11 Ladislav Krejčí D
5 Gary Medel M
7 Riccardo Orsolini M
21 Roberto Soriano M
16 Andrea Poli M
10 Nicola Sansone M
24 Rodrigo Palacio F
Bench (11)
1 Angelo Da Costa
97 Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
6 Nehuén Paz
15 Ibrahima Mbaye
25 Gabriele Corbo
32 Mattias Svanberg
30 Jerdy Schouten
31 Blerim Džemaili
9 Federico Santander
17 Andreas Skov Olsen
22 Mattia Destro

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,52
B
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.