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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Groningen
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Groningen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 4 2 0 +14 14
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 2 0 +11 14
3 Vitesse 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 +10 13
5 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Willem II 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Utrecht 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Feyenoord 6 2 4 0 +2 10
11 VVV Venlo 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -1 7
13 Groningen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Den Haag 7 2 0 5 -3 6
16 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -9 4
17 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2
18 Waalwijk 7 0 1 6 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Groningen
1–0 P. Rosario
S. Bergwijn
12′
29′
🟨 Ajdin Hrustic
2–0 D. Dumfries
D. Malen
38′
Half-time 2–0
M. Ihattaren 🔁
↦ D. Malen
59′
70′
R. Lundqvist 2–1
A. El Messaoudi
71′
🔁 M. El Hankouri
↦ D. Warmerdam
Bruma 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
79′
82′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ A. Matusiwa
87′
🔁 J. Asoro
↦ B. van Hintum
M. Sadílek 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
88′
90′
🟨 Romano Postema
3–1 Bruma
S. Bergwijn
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
6 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
25 R. Doan F
18 P. Rosario M
10 S. Bergwijn M
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (9)
24 M. Ihattaren
7 Bruma
32 M. Sadílek
13 L. Unnerstall
33 J. Teze
21 R. Ruiter
30 R. Thomas
5 T. Baumgartl
3 Toni Lato

Coach: M. van Bommel

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 M. te Wierik D
21 D. Warmerdam M
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
23 A. Hrustic M
10 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
35 C. Benschop F
Bench (8)
14 M. El Hankouri
29 R. Postema
11 J. Asoro
20 A. Absalem
32 M. van Duin
16 J. Hoekstra
8 S. Schreck
26 D. van Kaam

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,34
B
10,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.