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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Nantes
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Rennes
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 7. · Rennes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +10 15
2 Angers 6 4 0 2 +3 12
3 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Nice 7 4 0 3 +0 12
5 Rennes 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Nantes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Lyon 6 2 2 2 +7 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Toulouse 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Amiens 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Brest 6 1 4 1 -2 7
16 Strasbourg 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -5 6
18 St Etienne 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Metz 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Rennes
Fábio 🟨
22′
Alban Lafont 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 James Léa Siliki
59′
🟨 Adrien Hunou
M. Abeid 🔁
↦ R. Krhin
61′
64′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ R. Del Castillo
64′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ J. Lea Siliki
C. Benavente 🔁
↦ L. Blas
67′
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ K. Bamba
72′
75′
🟨 Jérémy Morel
1–0 A. Touré
77′
81′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ E. Camavinga
88′
🟨 Raphinha
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
4 N. Pallois D
12 D. Appiah D
21 R. Krhin M
20 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
32 K. Bamba M
17 L. Blas M
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon M
Bench (7)
11 M. Abeid
10 C. Benavente
18 S. Moutoussamy
13 M. Wagué
26 I. Louza
23 T. Basila
16 A. Olliero

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Rennes

4-4-2
16 E. Mendy G
15 J. Morel D
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
21 J. Gnagnon D
8 C. Grenier M
23 A. Hunou F
12 J. Lea Siliki M
18 E. Camavinga M
11 M. Niang F
22 R. Del Castillo M
Bench (7)
14 B. Bourigeaud
7 Raphinha
9 T. Siebatcheu
26 J. Gelin
1 R. Salin
28 J. Martin
20 F. Tait

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,13
B
3,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.