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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Brest

U S T U U

2–2

Full-time

Lyon

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 15. · Lyon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Angers	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Nice	7	4	0	3	+0	12
5	Rennes	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Lille	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Nantes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+7	8
10	Reims	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Brest	6	1	4	1	-2	7
16	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Monaco	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	St Etienne	6	1	2	3	-6	5
19	Metz	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Dijon	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Strasbourg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+5	4
14	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Marseille	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Metz	3	1	0	2	+0	3
19	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Nice	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Reims	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Brest	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Nimes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Lille	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.