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Serie B

Como

S S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Perugia

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

13 Shots 18

9 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 11. · Perugia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+10	22
2	Reggina	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Brescia	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Lecce	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Benevento	11	5	4	2	+9	19
6	Frosinone	11	4	6	1	+5	18
7	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Perugia	11	4	5	2	+3	17
9	Monza	11	4	5	2	+1	17
10	Parma	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Como	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Cittadella	11	5	1	5	-2	16
13	Ascoli	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-6	14
15	Spal	11	3	4	4	+3	13
16	Ternana	11	4	1	6	-1	13
17	Alessandria	11	2	2	7	-9	8
18	Crotone	11	1	4	6	-9	7
19	Vicenza	11	1	1	9	-13	4
20	Pordenone	11	0	3	8	-18	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Cosenza	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Monza	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Benevento	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Lecce	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Cremonese	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Spal	6	2	3	1	+5	9
10	Ternana	6	3	0	3	+2	9
11	Frosinone	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Brescia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Parma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Alessandria	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Crotone	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pordenone	6	0	2	4	-9	2
20	Vicenza	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Perugia	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Frosinone	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Como	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Lecce	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Benevento	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Parma	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Spal	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Ternana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Monza	6	0	4	2	-4	4
16	Vicenza	6	1	0	5	-7	3
17	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Alessandria	6	0	1	5	-7	1
19	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Cosenza	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.