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Serie B

Referee: M Serra

Ascoli

S U T T U

1–2

Full-time

Modena

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 12. · Modena 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	7	5	0	2	+11	15
2	Bari	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Genoa	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Brescia	7	5	0	2	+0	15
5	Ternana	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Frosinone	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Parma	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Cagliari	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Sudtirol	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Spal	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Ascoli	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Venezia	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Benevento	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-4	8
16	Palermo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Modena	7	2	0	5	-2	6
18	Pisa	7	1	2	4	-2	5
19	Perugia	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Como	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Frosinone	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Brescia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Ternana	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Parma	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Cosenza	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Bari	3	1	2	0	+4	5
14	Ascoli	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Sudtirol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Benevento	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Perugia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Reggina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-4	6
8	Parma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Pisa	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Ascoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Spal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Frosinone	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Como	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Cittadella	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Modena	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Perugia	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.