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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Cagliari
S T S S T
1–4
Full-time
Venezia
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 7. · Venezia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Frosinone 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Bari 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Genoa 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Cagliari 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Ternana 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Parma 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Spal 6 2 3 1 +1 9
11 Ascoli 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Palermo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sudtirol 6 2 1 3 -4 7
16 Venezia 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Perugia 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Modena 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Pisa 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Venezia
6′
🟨 Francesco Zampano
Marko Rog 🟨
29′
1–0 M. Mancosu
38′
Edoardo Goldaniga 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
A. Makoumbou 🔁
↦ M. Rog
46′
A. Obert 🔁
↦ A. Barreca
48′
49′
J. Pohjanpalo 1–1
M. Cuisance
51′
🟨 Ridgeciano Haps
F. Falco 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
60′
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
60′
61′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ M. Cuisance
61′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
64′
D. Cheryshev 1–2
66′
D. Cheryshev 1–3
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
74′
74′
🔁 L. Fiordilino
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
Alessandro Deiola 🟨
75′
82′
R. Haps 1–4
D. Cheryshev
90′
🔁 A. Candela
↦ G. Busio
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
28 G. Zappa D
3 E. Goldaniga D
15 G. Altare D
27 A. Barreca D
8 N. Nández M
14 A. Deiola M
6 M. Rog M
20 G. Pereiro M
5 M. Mancosu M
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (12)
29 A. Makoumbou
33 A. Obert
25 F. Falco
9 G. Lapadula
77 Zito Luvumbo
4 A. Dossena
19 V. Millico
18 S. Aresti
99 A. Di Pardo
10 N. Viola
23 N. Lella
16 F. Carboni

Coach: F. Liverani

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
13 M. Modolo D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
7 F. Zampano M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
6 G. Busio M
10 M. Cuisance M
5 R. Haps M
11 A. Novakovich F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
21 D. Cheryshev
8 T. Tessmann
16 L. Fiordilino
27 A. Candela
12 Bruno
14 J. De Vries
1 N. Mäenpää
47 H. St Clair
36 F. Zabala
25 N. Pierini
30 M. Svoboda
17 D. Johnsen

Coach: I. Javorčić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,46
B ✓
4,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.