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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Cagliari
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Bari
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 2
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
23 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cagliari 3. · Bari 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
2 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Spal 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Bari
Marko Rog 🟨
29′
35′
🟨 Giacomo Ricci
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Mazzotta
↦ G. Ricci
Franco Carboni 🟨
58′
A. Barreca 🔁
↦ F. Carboni
62′
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ M. Rog
62′
62′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ R. Botta
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ N. Nández
74′
L. Pavoletti 🔁
↦ G. Lapadula
74′
74′
🔁 D. Ceter
↦ M. Antenucci
77′
W. Cheddira 0–1
M. Maita
83′
🔁 A. D'Errico
↦ M. Folorunsho
83′
🔁 L. Benedetti
↦ R. Maiello
84′
🟥 Raffaele Pucino
V. Millico 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
88′
Vincenzo Millico 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-3
1 B. Radunović G
28 G. Zappa D
3 E. Goldaniga D
15 G. Altare D
16 F. Carboni D
10 N. Viola M
29 A. Makoumbou M
6 M. Rog M
8 N. Nández F
9 G. Lapadula F
5 M. Mancosu F
Bench (12)
27 A. Barreca
77 Zito Luvumbo
14 A. Deiola
30 L. Pavoletti
19 V. Millico
99 A. Di Pardo
4 A. Dossena
23 N. Lella
25 F. Falco
18 S. Aresti
24 E. Capradossi
20 G. Pereiro

Coach: F. Liverani

Bari

4-3-1-2
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
17 R. Maiello M
90 M. Folorunsho M
10 R. Botta M
7 M. Antenucci F
11 W. Cheddira F
Bench (12)
27 A. Mazzotta
63 N. Bellomo
30 D. Ceter
9 A. D'Errico
80 L. Benedetti
1 P. Frattali
93 M. Dorval
20 E. Terranova
21 Ž. Žužek
26 A. Scheidler
99 A. Mallamo
74 G. Cangiano

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,49
B ✓
4,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.