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Serie B

Referee: D Chiffi

Cagliari

S S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Brescia

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

38%

63%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

1,9

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

6 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 9. · Brescia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	8	6	0	2	+14	18
2	Bari	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Frosinone	9	6	0	3	+8	18
4	Ternana	8	5	1	2	+4	16
5	Brescia	8	5	1	2	+0	16
6	Genoa	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Parma	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Cagliari	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Sudtirol	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Modena	8	3	0	5	-1	9
12	Benevento	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Ascoli	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cittadella	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-4	8
17	Palermo	8	2	1	5	-6	7
18	Pisa	8	1	3	4	-2	6
19	Como	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Perugia	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Frosinone	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Ternana	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Parma	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Cosenza	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Bari	3	1	2	0	+4	5
14	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Como	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Ascoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Benevento	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Perugia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
19	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Venezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Parma	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Reggina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Frosinone	5	2	0	3	+0	6
7	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Benevento	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Pisa	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Ascoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Spal	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Modena	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Cittadella	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Palermo	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Perugia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.