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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
Brescia
T U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Spal
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 7. · Spal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 13 10 0 3 +12 30
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Genoa 13 6 5 2 +5 23
4 Parma 14 6 4 4 +5 22
5 Ternana 14 6 4 4 +2 22
6 Bari 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Brescia 13 5 5 3 -1 20
8 Sudtirol 13 5 5 3 -1 20
9 Ascoli 13 5 4 4 +2 19
10 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
12 Cagliari 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Spal 13 3 6 4 +1 15
14 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
15 Palermo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Cittadella 13 3 6 4 -4 15
17 Cosenza 13 4 2 7 -9 14
18 Como 13 3 4 6 -9 13
19 Venezia 13 2 3 8 -8 9
20 Perugia 13 2 2 9 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Spal
1–0 F. Ayé
E. Ndoj
14′
25′
🟨 Salvatore Esposito
2–0 M. Mangraviti
41′
Half-time 2–0
M. Bertagnoli 🔁
↦ D. Bisoli
46′
46′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ A. Murgia
46′
🔁 A. Fiordaliso
↦ M. Arena
48′
🟨 Alessandro Fiordaliso
63′
🟨 Raffaele Celia
65′
🟨 Niccolò Zanellato
N. Galazzi 🔁
↦ E. Ndoj
70′
J. Łabojko 🔁
↦ F. Viviani
71′
75′
🔁 F. Proia
↦ S. Esposito
76′
🟨 Enrico Alfonso
Massimo Bertagnoli 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 G. Tunjov
↦ L. Dickmann
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ F. Ayé
81′
84′
🔁 M. Finotto
↦ C. Dalle Mura
P. Nuamah 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
88′
Massimiliano Mangraviti 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-2-1
1 L. Andrenacci G
18 A. Jallow D
32 A. Papetti D
4 D. Adorni D
14 M. Mangraviti D
25 D. Bisoli M
7 F. Viviani M
5 T. van de Looi M
11 F. Ayé M
8 E. Ndoj M
9 S. Moreo F
Bench (9)
26 M. Bertagnoli
6 N. Galazzi
21 J. Łabojko
24 F. Bianchi
19 P. Nuamah
16 V. Garofalo
20 R. Niemeijer
22 L. Sonzogni
30 F. Pace

Coach: Pep Clotet

Spal

3-5-2
1 E. Alfonso G
18 M. Arena D
6 B. Meccariello D
4 C. Dalle Mura D
24 L. Dickmann M
23 A. Murgia M
5 S. Esposito M
10 N. Zanellato M
21 R. Celia M
32 N. Rauti F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
37 F. Maistro
2 A. Fiordaliso
8 F. Proia
40 G. Tunjov
11 M. Finotto
20 M. Prati
22 D. Thiam
14 F. Zuculini
99 S. Rabbi
16 L. Valzania
3 A. Tripaldelli
96 P. Breit

Coach: D. De Rossi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,38
B
4,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.