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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Cartagena
U S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 7. · Eibar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 17 9 7 1 +8 34
2 Las Palmas 17 8 7 2 +11 31
3 Burgos 17 8 7 2 +9 31
4 Levante 17 7 7 3 +6 28
5 Eibar 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Granada 17 7 4 6 +7 25
7 Cartagena 16 7 4 5 +4 25
8 Albacete 17 6 7 4 -1 25
9 Andorra 16 7 3 6 +6 24
10 Huesca 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Leganes 17 7 3 7 +1 24
12 Sp Gijon 17 5 8 4 +1 23
13 Villarreal B 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Tenerife 17 5 5 7 -2 20
15 Oviedo 17 5 5 7 -3 20
16 Zaragoza 17 4 6 7 -4 18
17 Santander 17 4 6 7 -4 18
18 Ponferradina 17 4 5 8 -8 17
19 Mirandes 17 3 7 7 -6 16
20 Lugo 17 3 6 8 -8 15
21 Malaga 17 3 5 9 -9 14
22 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Eibar
10′
Y. Rahmani 0–1
Peru Nolaskoain
39′
🟨 Peru Nolaskoain Esnal
Half-time 0–1
Borja Valle 🔁
↦ T. Datković
46′
Borja Valle ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
59′
61′
🔁 Javi Muñoz
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
Borja Valle ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
68′
🟨 Luca Zidane
1–1 A. Sadiku
68′
70′
🔁 Stoichkov
↦ Y. Rahmani
70′
🔁 Ríos Reina
↦ Imanol García de Albéniz
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ A. Sadiku
73′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ Sangalli
73′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Tejera
73′
82′
🔁 Álvaro Vadillo
↦ José Corpas
82′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ G. Blanco
Borja Valle 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
Delmás 🔁
↦ P. De Blasis
91′
Alfredo Ortuño 🟨
96′
2–1 Alfredo Ortuño
Jairo Izquierdo
96′
99′
🟨 Róber
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
18 D. Musto M
23 Tejera M
15 Sangalli M
8 P. De Blasis M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
19 A. Sadiku F
Bench (12)
10 Borja Valle
24 I. Jansson
9 Alfredo Ortuño
17 Mikel Rico
22 Delmás
11 Óscar
1 Marc Martínez
7 David Ferreiro
26 José Mari
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
28 Neskes
5 Pablo Vázquez

Coach: Luis Carrión

Eibar

4-3-3
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
4 Rober Correa D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
22 Peru Nolaskoain M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas F
9 G. Blanco F
11 Y. Rahmani F
Bench (9)
14 Javi Muñoz
19 Stoichkov
16 Ríos Reina
21 Álvaro Vadillo
18 Jon Bautista
13 Yoel
31 Ángel Troncho
1 Ander Cantero
2 Chema Rodríguez

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,02
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.