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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Palermo
U U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Venezia
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
31%
15%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 16. · Venezia 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 14 10 1 3 +12 31
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Genoa 14 6 5 3 +4 23
4 Brescia 14 6 5 3 +1 23
5 Bari 14 5 7 2 +6 22
6 Parma 14 6 4 4 +5 22
7 Ternana 14 6 4 4 +2 22
8 Sudtirol 14 5 6 3 -1 21
9 Ascoli 14 5 5 4 +2 20
10 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Cagliari 14 4 6 4 -1 18
12 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
13 Cittadella 14 3 7 4 -4 16
14 Spal 14 3 6 5 -1 15
15 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
16 Palermo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
17 Cosenza 14 4 3 7 -9 15
18 Como 14 3 5 6 -9 14
19 Perugia 14 3 2 9 -10 11
20 Venezia 13 2 3 8 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Venezia
37′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
Half-time 0–0
Matteo Brunori ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
50′
60′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ D. Črnigoj
65′
J. Pohjanpalo 0–1
72′
🔁 G. Busio
↦ D. Cheryshev
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ M. Sala
76′
R. Floriano 🔁
↦ J. Broh
76′
79′
🔁 M. Ullmann
↦ A. Candela
79′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
79′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ D. Johnsen
S. Damiani 🔁
↦ J. Segre
82′
L. Štulac 🔁
↦ C. Gomes
82′
Davide Bettella ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
86′
87′
🟨 Andrija Novakovich
M. Devetak 🔁
↦ D. Bettella
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
37 A. Matějů D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
48 D. Bettella D
3 M. Sala D
8 J. Segre M
5 C. Gomes M
14 J. Broh M
30 N. Valente F
9 M. Brunori F
10 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (12)
27 E. Soleri
7 R. Floriano
21 S. Damiani
16 L. Štulac
34 M. Devetak
4 A. Accardi
12 S. Massolo
19 L. Vido
2 E. Pierozzi
6 R. Crivello
79 E. Lancini
54 M. Peretti

Coach: E. Corini

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
27 A. Candela M
33 D. Črnigoj M
8 T. Tessmann M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
7 F. Zampano M
17 D. Johnsen F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
21 D. Cheryshev
6 G. Busio
31 M. Ullmann
11 A. Novakovich
25 N. Pierini
12 Bruno
36 F. Zabala
47 H. St Clair
13 M. Modolo
22 T. Sperandio
30 M. Svoboda
16 L. Fiordilino

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,25
B ✓
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.